Change in Breast Density over Time Provides Insights into Breast Cancer Risk

The researchers found a 28% reduced risk of developing breast cancer in women whose breasts decreased in density, as seen from two different mammograms taken an average of six years apart, compared to women whose breast density did not change.

Two measures of breast density may, therefore, provide additional data for assessing breast cancer risk, says the study's lead investigator, Celine Vachon, Ph.D., an associate professor of epidemiology. Dr. Vachon added, however, that this information is not ready for use in clinical practice to inform breast cancer risk. "Replication of these findings in other studies will be important. Also, improved and standardized measurements of breast density are needed for the assessment of changes in density.”

The current assessment available in most clinical settings is BI-RADS, Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System, which is relatively unsophisticated when it comes to measuring breast density and was not intended for this purpose, Dr. Vachon stated. "There is a lot of ongoing work aimed at improving measures of density, so that situation should change,” she added.

This study was drawn from the Mammography Health Study, which enrolled 19,924 women who were free of breast cancer, had screening mammograms performed at Mayo Clinic between 2003 and 2006 and resided in Minnesota, Iowa, and Wisconsin. From this large group, the researchers selected participants who had at least one additional screening mammogram prior to enrollment, and then looked at clinic and tumor registries in the three U.S. Midwestern states to determine if any of these women developed breast cancer after enrolling in the study.

Measures of mammographic density were obtained from the two mammograms, an average of six years apart, for the approximately 1,900 women randomly sampled from the group, and from all 219 individuals who were diagnosed with breast cancer during follow-up. In the cancer-free group, 38.6% of women had a decrease in breast density, 50.4% stayed the same, and 11% showed an increase in breast density. In women who developed breast cancer, the percentages were 37, 51, and 12, respectively.

Women who developed breast cancer were less likely to experience a decrease in density in a second mammogram, according to Dr. Vachon. After adjusting for other potential factors that contribute to breast cancer development, such as age, body mass index, postmenopausal hormones, postmenopausal status, in addition to baseline breast density, the researchers found that women who decreased one BI-RADS category or more over an average of six years were at 28% reduced risk of developing breast cancer, compared to women whose density was unchanged.

"We know that breast density can change with time, as evidenced by decreases seen with women going through menopause or using the breast cancer preventive drug tamoxifen and increases seen with postmenopausal hormone therapy use. Our results suggest that decreases in density may translate to decreased breast cancer risk,” Dr. Vachon concluded.

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